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来源:https://www.bjmy2z.cn/gaokao
2021-02-22 18:05
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2021年2月22日发(作者:罗安达)


1. China's economy, one of the fastest- growing economies in the world and


the biggest


contributor


to


global


growth, grew


9.9


percent


year- on-year


in


the first three quarters of this year, according to official figures released on


Monday, showing a trend of a slowdown amid the current global financial


crisis.


In


the


third


quarter,


the


gross


domestic


product


(GDP)


growth


rate


slowed down to 9 percent, the lowest in five years, from 10.6 percent in the


first quarter, 10.1 percent for the second quarter and 10.4 percent in the first


half of 2008. China's economic growth has been on a steady decline since


peaking


in


the


second


quarter


of


2007.


The


slowing


world


economy


pummeled


by


the


global


financial


crisis


and


weaker


demand


for


Chinese


exports on international markets heavily weighted on the Chinese economy,


according to Li Xiaochao, spokesperson for the National Bureau of Statistics.


Another


widely


watched


indicator,


the


consumer


price


index


(CPI)


--


an


important


measure


of


inflation


--


rose


4.6


percent


in


September,


over


the


same


period


last


year.


The


figure,


coupled


with


7.1


percent


in


June,


6.3


percent


in


July,


4.9


percent


in


August


and


a


nearly


12-year-high


of


8.7


percent in February, shows the CPI in a downward spiral. Analysts mainly


attribute


the


decline


in


the


CPI


to


ample


grain


supply


and


lower- thanexpected income growth of Chinese residents, as the housing and


stock


markets


take


heavy


toll,


which


dented


residents'


desire


to


consume.


Chinese


stocks


have


shed


nearly


70


percent


of


their


value


from


the


last


year's


peak


at


6,124


points


due


to


weak


investor


confidence.


The


stock


market


rose


more


than


two


percent


on


Monday


amid


expectation


the


government


would


unveil


more


measures


to


stimulate


economy.


The


benchmark


Shanghai


Composite


Index


gained


43.36


points


to


close


at


1,974.01


points.


Exports,


one


of


the


three


major


drivers


of


the


Chinese


economy


along


with


investment


and


consumption,


are


taking


hit


from


the


global financial turmoil and economic slowdown. In the first three quarters


exports grew 22.3 percent, 4.8 percent points lower than the same period last


year. Fixed assets investment totaled 11.6246 trillion yuan ($$1.66 trillion) in


the


first


three


quarters


of


2008, up


27.0


percent


over


the


same


period


last


year,


according


to


the


bureau.


The


growth


rate


was


0.7


percentage


points


higher than the first half of this year, or 1.3 percentage points higher than the


year-earlier level. Another key economic indicator, retail sales, increased by


22 percent year-on-year in the first three quarters and climbed 23.2 percent


in


September


alone.


Analysts


say


China


would


have


to


further


stimulate


domestic consumption in order to push the economy forward amid an export


slump.



still


has


huge


potential


and


leeway


to


expand


domestic


consumption,


Li


said.


The


combination


of


an


economic


slowdown


and


easing


inflation


may


give


rise


to


louder


calls


for


loosening


the


monetary


policy


and


adopting


a


more


proactive


fiscal


policy.


Analysts


expect


more


monetary easing, building on two cuts in interest rates and banks' required


reserves


since


mid-September.


The


State


Council


said


on


Sunday


China's


economy can weather the effects of the global financial turmoil, but growth


1


/


9


will decline as business profits and public revenues slow. In a statement at


the end of an executive meeting presided by Premier Wen Jiabao, it said the


global turmoil and economic instability will have a


country.


It


said


China's


economic


growth


will


slow


along


with


corporate


profits


and


public


revenues,


and


as


capital


markets


continue


to


fluctuate.



have not changed the basic growth situation of our country's economy,


the


statement


posted


on


a


government


website.



country's


economic


growth has the ability and vigor to resist risks.


and


cautious


macroeconomic


policies


to


maintain


stable


growth,


the


statement


said.


The


State


Council


said


that


in


the


fourth


quarter,


China


should


focus


on


developing


the


rural


economy,


while


striving


to


control


inflation. Global Financial Crisis





全球金融危机



international


market


国际市场



gross


domestic


product



内生产总值



consumer price index


消费者物价指数



housing and stock markets


房地产和证劵市场



investor confidence


投资者信心



stimulate economy


刺激经济



easing inflation


缓解通货膨胀



investment and consumption maintain stable growth


投资和消费



保持稳定增长



2. Macroeconomics is a sub-field of economics that examines the behavior


of the economy as a whole, once all of the individual economic decisions of


companies


and


industries


have


been


summed.


Economy-wide


phenomena


considered by macroeconomics include Gross Domestic Product and how it


is


affected


by


changes


in


unemployment, national


income,


rate of


growth,


and price levels. In contrast, microeconomics is the study of the economic


behaviour


and


decision-making


of


individual


consumers,


firms,


and


industries.


Macroeconomics


can


be


used


to


analyze


how


to


influence


government


policy


goals


such


as


economic


growth,


price


stability,


full


employment


and


the


attainment


of


a


sustainable


balance


of


payments.


Macroeconomics


is


sometimes


used


to


refer


to


a


general


approach


to


economic


reasoning,


which


includes


long


term


strategies


and


rational


expectations in aggregate behavior. Until the 1930s most economic analysis


did not separate out individual economics behavior from aggregate behavior.


With the Great Depression of the 1930s, suffered throughout the developed


world


at


the time,


and


the


development


of


the concept of


national


income


and


product


statistics,


the


field


of


macroeconomics


began


to


expand.


2


/


9


Particularly


influential


were


the


ideas


of


John


Maynard


Keynes,


who


formulated theories to try to explain the Great Depression. Before that time,


comprehensive


national


accounts,


as


we


know


them


today,


did


not


exist .


One


of


the


challenges


of


economics


has


been


a


struggle


to


reconcile


macroeconomic


and


microeconomic


models.


Starting


in


the


1950s,


macroeconomists


developed


micro-based


models


of


macroeconomic


behavior. Dutch economist Jan Tinbergen developed the first comprehensive


national macroeconomic model, which he first built for the Netherlands and


later applied to the United States and the United Kingdom after World War


II.


The


first


global


macroeconomic


model,


Wharton


Econometric


Forecasting Associates LINK project, was initiated by Lawrence Klein and


was mentioned in his citation for the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics in


1980.


Macroeconomics


宏观经济学



Price


stability


价格稳定



balance


of


payments


国际收支平衡表



individual economics behavior


个体经济行为



product statistics


产品统计



individual economic decisions


个体经济决策



full


employment


充分就业



rational


expectations


理性预期



long


term


strategies


长期战略



microeconomic models


微观经济模型



annual review of American company board practices by Korn/Ferry, a


firm


of


3.


headhunters,


is


a


useful


indicator


of


the


health


of


corporate


governance.


This


year’s


revie


w,


published


on


November


12th,


shows


that


the


Sarbanes-Oxley


act,


passed


in


2002


to


try


to


prevent


a


repeat


of


corporate collapses such as Enron’s and WorldCom’s, has had an impact on


the


boardroom--albeit


at


an


average


implementation


cost


that


Korn/Ferry


estimates at $$5.1m per firm.


Two


years


ago,


only


41%


of


American


firms


said


they


regularly


held


meetings


of


directors


without


their


chief


executive


present;


this


year


the


figure was 93%. But some things have been surprisingly unaffected by the


backlash against corporate scandals. For example, despite a growing feeling


that


former


chief


executives


should


not


sit


on


their


company’s


board,


the


percentage


of


American


firms


where


they


do


has


actually


edged


up,


from


23% in 2003 to 25% in 2004. Also, disappointingly few firms have split the


jobs of chairman and chief executive. Another survey of American boards


published this week, by A.T. Kearney, a firm of consultants, found that in


2002


14% of


the


boards


of


S&P


500


firms


had


separated


the roles,


and


a


further 16% said they planned to do so. But by 2004 only 23% overall had


taken the plunge. A survey earlier in the year by consultants at McKinsey


found


that 70% of American


directors


and


investors


supported


the idea of


splitting


the


jobs,


which


is


standard


practice


in


Europe.


Another


disappointment is the slow progress in abolishing


3


/


9


where


only


one- third


of


the


directors


are


up


for


re-election


each


year,


to


three-year


terms.


Invented


as


a


defence


against


takeover,


such


boards,


according


to


a


new


Harvard


Law


School


study


by


Lucian


Bebchuk


and


Alma


Cohen,


are


unambiguously



with


an


economically


significant reduction in firm value


corporate governance


企业管制



splitting the jobs


分裂的工作



4.


taken the plunge


采取果断行动



corporate scandals


公司丑闻



4. The dollar's tumble this week was attended by predictable shrinks from


the markets; but as it fell to a 20-month low of $$1.32 against the euro, the


only real surprise was that it had not slipped sooner. Indeed, there are good


reasons to expect its slide to continue, dragging it below the record low of


$$1.36 against the euro that it hit in December 2004. The recent decline was


triggered


by


nasty


news


about


the


American


economy.


New


figures


this


week suggested that the housing market's troubles are having a wider impact


on


the


economy.


Consumer


confidence


and


durable-goods


orders


both


fell


more


sharply


than


expected.


In


contrast,


German


business


confidence


has


risen to a 15-year high. There are also mounting concerns that central banks


in China and elsewhere, which have been piling up dollars assiduously for


years,


may


start


selling.


So,


contrary


to


popular


perceptions,


America's


economy has not significantly outperformed Europe's in recent years. Since


2000


its


structural


budget


deficit


(after


adjusting


for


the


impact


of


the


economic


cycle)


has


widened


sharply,


while


American


households'


saving


rate has plunged, causing the current-account deficit to swell. Over the same


period,


the


euro-area


economies


saw


no


fiscal


stimulus


and


household


saving barely budged. Yet cyclical factors only partly explain why the dollar


has


been


strong.


At


bottom,


its


attractiveness


is


based


more


on


structural


factors---or,


more


accurately,


on


an


illusion


about


structural


differences


between


the


American


and


European


economies.


The


main


reason


for


the


dollar's strength has been the widespread belief that the American economy


vastly outperformed the world's other rich country economies in recent years.


But the figures do not support the hypothesis. Sure, America's GDP growth


has been faster than Europe's, but that is mostly because its population has


grown


more


quickly


too.


Official


figures


of


productivity


growth,


which


should


in


theory


be


an


important


factor


driving


currency


movement,


exaggerate America's lead. If the two are measured on a comparable basis,


productivity growth over


the past


decade has been


almost


the same in


the


euro


area


as


it


has


in


America.


Even


more


important,


the


latest


figures


suggest that, whereas productivity growth is now slowing in America, it is


accelerating


in


the


euro


zone.


America's


growth,


thus,


has


been


driven


by


consumer


spending.


That


spending,


supported


by


dwindling


saving


and


increased borrowing, is clearly unsustainable; and the consequent economic


and


financial


imbalances


must


inevitably


unwind.


As


that


happens,


the


4


/


9

-


-


-


-


-


-


-


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