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1. China's economy, one of the fastest-
growing economies in the world and
the
biggest
contributor
to
global
growth, grew
9.9
percent
year-
on-year
in
the first three
quarters of this year, according to official
figures released on
Monday, showing a
trend of a slowdown amid the current global
financial
crisis.
In
the
third
quarter,
the
gross
domestic
product
(GDP)
growth
rate
slowed down to 9 percent, the lowest in
five years, from 10.6 percent in the
first quarter, 10.1 percent for the
second quarter and 10.4 percent in the first
half of 2008. China's economic growth
has been on a steady decline since
peaking
in
the
second
quarter
of
2007.
The
slowing
world
economy
pummeled
by
the
global
financial
crisis
and
weaker
demand
for
Chinese
exports on
international markets heavily weighted on the
Chinese economy,
according to Li
Xiaochao, spokesperson for the National Bureau of
Statistics.
Another
widely
watched
indicator,
the
consumer
price
index
(CPI)
--
an
important
measure
of
inflation
--
rose
4.6
percent
in
September,
over
the
same
period
last
year.
The
figure,
coupled
with
7.1
percent
in
June,
6.3
percent
in
July,
4.9
percent
in
August
and
a
nearly
12-year-high
of
8.7
percent in
February, shows the CPI in a downward spiral.
Analysts mainly
attribute
the
decline
in
the
CPI
to
ample
grain
supply
and
lower-
thanexpected income growth of Chinese residents,
as the housing and
stock
markets
take
heavy
toll,
which
dented
residents'
desire
to
consume.
Chinese
stocks
have
shed
nearly
70
percent
of
their
value
from
the
last
year's
peak
at
6,124
points
due
to
weak
investor
confidence.
The
stock
market
rose
more
than
two
percent
on
Monday
amid
expectation
the
government
would
unveil
more
measures
to
stimulate
economy.
The
benchmark
Shanghai
Composite
Index
gained
43.36
points
to
close
at
1,974.01
points.
Exports,
one
of
the
three
major
drivers
of
the
Chinese
economy
along
with
investment
and
consumption,
are
taking
hit
from
the
global financial turmoil
and economic slowdown. In the first three quarters
exports grew 22.3 percent, 4.8 percent
points lower than the same period last
year. Fixed assets investment totaled
11.6246 trillion yuan ($$1.66 trillion) in
the
first
three
quarters
of
2008,
up
27.0
percent
over
the
same
period
last
year,
according
to
the
bureau.
The
growth
rate
was
0.7
percentage
points
higher than the first
half of this year, or 1.3 percentage points higher
than the
year-earlier level. Another
key economic indicator, retail sales, increased by
22 percent year-on-year in the first
three quarters and climbed 23.2 percent
in
September
alone.
Analysts
say
China
would
have
to
further
stimulate
domestic
consumption in order to push the economy forward
amid an export
slump.
still
has
huge
potential
and
leeway
to
expand
domestic
consumption,
Li
said.
The
combination
of
an
economic
slowdown
and
easing
inflation
may
give
rise
to
louder
calls
for
loosening
the
monetary
policy
and
adopting
a
more
proactive
fiscal
policy.
Analysts
expect
more
monetary easing,
building on two cuts in interest rates and banks'
required
reserves
since
mid-September.
The
State
Council
said
on
Sunday
China's
economy can weather
the effects of the global financial turmoil, but
growth
1
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9
will decline as business profits and
public revenues slow. In a statement at
the end of an executive meeting
presided by Premier Wen Jiabao, it said the
global turmoil and economic instability
will have a
country.
It
said
China's
economic
growth
will
slow
along
with
corporate
profits
and
public
revenues,
and
as
capital
markets
continue
to
fluctuate.
have not changed the basic
growth situation of our country's
economy,
the
statement
posted
on
a
government
website.
country's
economic
growth has the
ability and vigor to resist risks.
and
cautious
macroeconomic
policies
to
maintain
stable
growth,
the
statement
said.
The
State
Council
said
that
in
the
fourth
quarter,
China
should
focus
on
developing
the
rural
economy,
while
striving
to
control
inflation. Global
Financial Crisis
:
全球金融危机
international
market
国际市场
gross
domestic
product
国
内生产总值
consumer price index
消费者物价指数
housing
and stock markets
房地产和证劵市场
investor confidence
投资者信心
stimulate
economy
刺激经济
easing inflation
缓解通货膨胀
investment
and consumption maintain stable growth
投资和消费
保持稳定增长
2.
Macroeconomics is a sub-field of economics that
examines the behavior
of the economy as
a whole, once all of the individual economic
decisions of
companies
and
industries
have
been
summed.
Economy-wide
phenomena
considered by macroeconomics include
Gross Domestic Product and how it
is
affected
by
changes
in
unemployment, national
income,
rate of
growth,
and price levels. In
contrast, microeconomics is the study of the
economic
behaviour
and
decision-making
of
individual
consumers,
firms,
and
industries.
Macroeconomics
can
be
used
to
analyze
how
to
influence
government
policy
goals
such
as
economic
growth,
price
stability,
full
employment
and
the
attainment
of
a
sustainable
balance
of
payments.
Macroeconomics
is
sometimes
used
to
refer
to
a
general
approach
to
economic
reasoning,
which
includes
long
term
strategies
and
rational
expectations in aggregate behavior.
Until the 1930s most economic analysis
did not separate out individual
economics behavior from aggregate behavior.
With the Great Depression of the 1930s,
suffered throughout the developed
world
at
the time,
and
the
development
of
the concept of
national
income
and
product
statistics,
the
field
of
macroeconomics
began
to
expand.
2
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9
Particularly
influential
were
the
ideas
of
John
Maynard
Keynes,
who
formulated theories to try to explain
the Great Depression. Before that time,
comprehensive
national
accounts,
as
we
know
them
today,
did
not
exist .
One
of
the
challenges
of
economics
has
been
a
struggle
to
reconcile
macroeconomic
and
microeconomic
models.
Starting
in
the
1950s,
macroeconomists
developed
micro-based
models
of
macroeconomic
behavior.
Dutch economist Jan Tinbergen developed the first
comprehensive
national macroeconomic
model, which he first built for the Netherlands
and
later applied to the United States
and the United Kingdom after World War
II.
The
first
global
macroeconomic
model,
Wharton
Econometric
Forecasting
Associates LINK project, was initiated by Lawrence
Klein and
was mentioned in his citation
for the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics in
1980.
Macroeconomics
宏观经济学
Price
stability
价格稳定
balance
of
payments
国际收支平衡表
individual economics behavior
个体经济行为
product
statistics
产品统计
individual economic decisions
个体经济决策
full
employment
充分就业
rational
expectations
理性预期
long
term
strategies
长期战略
microeconomic models
微观经济模型
annual
review of American company board practices by
Korn/Ferry, a
firm
of
3.
headhunters,
is
a
useful
indicator
of
the
health
of
corporate
governance.
This
year’s
revie
w,
published
on
November
12th,
shows
that
the
Sarbanes-Oxley
act,
passed
in
2002
to
try
to
prevent
a
repeat
of
corporate collapses such
as Enron’s and WorldCom’s, has had an impact on
the
boardroom--albeit
at
an
average
implementation
cost
that
Korn/Ferry
estimates at $$5.1m per firm.
Two
years
ago,
only
41%
of
American
firms
said
they
regularly
held
meetings
of
directors
without
their
chief
executive
present;
this
year
the
figure was 93%. But some things have
been surprisingly unaffected by the
backlash against corporate scandals.
For example, despite a growing feeling
that
former
chief
executives
should
not
sit
on
their
company’s
board,
the
percentage
of
American
firms
where
they
do
has
actually
edged
up,
from
23% in 2003 to 25% in 2004. Also,
disappointingly few firms have split the
jobs of chairman and chief executive.
Another survey of American boards
published this week, by A.T. Kearney, a
firm of consultants, found that in
2002
14% of
the
boards
of
S&P
500
firms
had
separated
the roles,
and
a
further 16%
said they planned to do so. But by 2004 only 23%
overall had
taken the plunge. A survey
earlier in the year by consultants at McKinsey
found
that 70% of American
directors
and
investors
supported
the idea of
splitting
the
jobs,
which
is
standard
practice
in
Europe.
Another
disappointment is the slow progress in
abolishing
3
/
9
where
only
one-
third
of
the
directors
are
up
for
re-election
each
year,
to
three-year
terms.
Invented
as
a
defence
against
takeover,
such
boards,
according
to
a
new
Harvard
Law
School
study
by
Lucian
Bebchuk
and
Alma
Cohen,
are
unambiguously
with
an
economically
significant
reduction in firm value
corporate
governance
企业管制
splitting the jobs
分裂的工作
4.
taken the plunge
采取果断行动
corporate
scandals
公司丑闻
4.
The dollar's tumble this week was attended by
predictable shrinks from
the markets;
but as it fell to a 20-month low of $$1.32 against
the euro, the
only real surprise was
that it had not slipped sooner. Indeed, there are
good
reasons to expect its slide to
continue, dragging it below the record low of
$$1.36 against the euro that it hit in
December 2004. The recent decline was
triggered
by
nasty
news
about
the
American
economy.
New
figures
this
week
suggested that the housing market's troubles are
having a wider impact
on
the
economy.
Consumer
confidence
and
durable-goods
orders
both
fell
more
sharply
than
expected.
In
contrast,
German
business
confidence
has
risen to a 15-year high.
There are also mounting concerns that central
banks
in China and elsewhere, which
have been piling up dollars assiduously for
years,
may
start
selling.
So,
contrary
to
popular
perceptions,
America's
economy has not
significantly outperformed Europe's in recent
years. Since
2000
its
structural
budget
deficit
(after
adjusting
for
the
impact
of
the
economic
cycle)
has
widened
sharply,
while
American
households'
saving
rate has plunged,
causing the current-account deficit to swell. Over
the same
period,
the
euro-area
economies
saw
no
fiscal
stimulus
and
household
saving barely
budged. Yet cyclical factors only partly explain
why the dollar
has
been
strong.
At
bottom,
its
attractiveness
is
based
more
on
structural
factors---or,
more
accurately,
on
an
illusion
about
structural
differences
between
the
American
and
European
economies.
The
main
reason
for
the
dollar's
strength has been the widespread belief that the
American economy
vastly outperformed
the world's other rich country economies in recent
years.
But the figures do not support
the hypothesis. Sure, America's GDP growth
has been faster than Europe's, but that
is mostly because its population has
grown
more
quickly
too.
Official
figures
of
productivity
growth,
which
should
in
theory
be
an
important
factor
driving
currency
movement,
exaggerate America's lead. If the two
are measured on a comparable basis,
productivity growth over
the
past
decade has been
almost
the same in
the
euro
area
as
it
has
in
America.
Even
more
important,
the
latest
figures
suggest that,
whereas productivity growth is now slowing in
America, it is
accelerating
in
the
euro
zone.
America's
growth,
thus,
has
been
driven
by
consumer
spending.
That
spending,
supported
by
dwindling
saving
and
increased borrowing, is
clearly unsustainable; and the consequent economic
and
financial
imbalances
must
inevitably
unwind.
As
that
happens,
the
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