成功交易秘密(Successful trading secrets)

成功交易秘密（

Successful trading secrets

）

One of the secrets of successful trading is finding a trading

system that suits you.

The trading system is not mechanical, suitable for your own

personality, a perfect

trading

ideas,

careful

market

analysis

and the whole operation plan, the risk of market winners all

have their own trading system, so to find suitable for their

own trading system and perfect trading system is their own

trading

professional

investment

life

almost

every

day.

The

one

thing to do.

What is a trading system?

Trading system is a complete system of trading rules. For a

well-designed trading system, the relevant provisions of

investment

decisions

must

be

clearly

defined.

Such

a

rule

must

be objective and unique, and no different interpretations are

allowed. A well-designed trading system must conform to the

user's psychological characteristics, the statistical

characteristics of the investment object, and the risk

characteristics of the investment funds.

The transaction system is characterized by its integrity and

objectivity. It guarantees the reproducibility of the

transaction system results. In theory, for any user, if the

conditions are exactly the same, the result is the same. The

repeatability of the system is the scientific method, and the

system trading method belongs to the scientific investment

transaction method.

Most

investors

tend

to

focus

their

decision

on

the

analysis

and

judgment

of

the

market,

in

fact,

this

is

very

biased.

Successful

investment

requires

not

only

correct

market

analysis,

but

also

correct

risk

management

and

correct

psychological

control.

The

psychological

control

between

the

three

is

the

most

important,

followed by risk management, and once again the analytical

skills,

that

is,

the

so-called

3M

system

(Mind,

Money,

Market).

If you use an analogy to describe, the judgment of the market

in

the

importance

of

investment

behavior

accounted

for

only

1%,

most

investors

ignore

what

is

the

decisive

factor

in

investment

behavior. Market analysis is the premise of management, only

from the correct market analysis, in order to establish a

positive expectation value of the trading system, risk

management is only in the expected value under the trading

system to maximize its effectiveness, and psychological

control is the connection between the bridge and the link. If

a person's psychological quality is not good, he will often

deviate from the correct market analysis methods, instead of

objective analysis with subjective wishes, and often deviate

from the basic principles of risk management.

If investors in a steady market profit efficiency, must be

successfully solve two major problems: 1, how to price

fluctuations in highly random seeking non random part; 2, how

to

effectively

control

their

own

psychological

weakness,

so

as

not

to

affect

their

rational

decision.

Many

investors

practice

has

proved

that

the

trading

system

in

the

above

two

aspects

are

investors' powerful assistant.

Most investors, when entering the market, do not have a

systematic view of the market. Many investors according to a

certain understanding of the market, is one-sided to admit or

deny

the

possibility

of

a

trading

idea,

in

fact

they

do

not

know,

to think of an objective evaluation method of trading, to

confirm the validity of the method in terms of probability

statistics. Whether stochastic or non random, the price

fluctuations do not have statistical significance, and the

effectiveness

can

only

give

investors

a

chance

to

win

locally,

and

there

is

no

possibility

of

long-term

stability.

The

design

and evaluation methods of trading system can help investors

overcome the blindness and unilateralism of the method.

Trading systems can also help investors effectively control

risk.

Practice

has

proved

that

investors

who

do

not

use

trading

systems are difficult to control risk accurately and

systematically. Without trading system guidance, it is

difficult for investors to quantitatively assess the risk of

each approach transaction, and it is difficult to assess the

significance

of

the

risk

of

a

single

transaction

in

the

overall

risk.

While

the

use

of

the

trading

system,

investors

can

clearly

tell

each

transaction's

expected

profit

rate,

the

expected

loss

amount, the expected maximum expected profit, the number of

consecutive losses, expected number of consecutive losses,

these

are

important

parameters

of

investment

risk

management.

Helping investors effectively overcome their psychological

weaknesses may be the biggest function of the trading system.

The trading system makes the process of transaction decision

more procedural, open and rational. The investor can change

from a fuzzy selection process dominated by emotion to a

quantitative numerical selection process, that is, to simply

judge the response of the signaling system and to perform the

decisions represented by the signal.

Several core connotations of trading system

1: mentality core

In

the

trading

system

is

not

put

forward

trading

stocks

period,

how to

correct

the mentality,

and

do

with

the

heart

is

the trading system can play the first condition of system

trading.

If

a

good

trading

system,

but

the

mentality

impatience,

then

can

not

endure

short positions

or

as

those

soaring

but

do

not

know

how

to

control

the

risk

and

reasonable

intervene,

out

of control as a trading system,

The failure can not be attributed to the failure of the

transaction

system

program,

the

failure

of

attitude

led

to

the

failure of the transaction. Therefore, I think that attitude

is

the

most

important,

determines

the

success

or

failure

of

the

trading system.

2: the core of success and failure

Different

starting

points

of

capital

have

different

advantages

and

disadvantages.

Such

as

1

million

and

30

thousand

years,

as

the trading order is the same, but to master the 1 million

individual, its earnings targets reduced to 50% years, the

income is higher than the 30 thousand doubled many, the

requirement

of

their

psychological

and

technical

requirements

will

be

greatly

reduced.

As

a

result,

different

trading

systems

have been created. 1 million of the individual is likely to

value the central trading system, and 30 thousand of the

individual is likely to value short-term trading.

3: technology core

The market profit model three, oversold bounce, high throw

bargain hunting, chasing the high strength.

(1)

oversold

bounce,

super,

super

to

what

extent

will

come

back?

What extent will the bomb fall?

(2) buy low sell high, high, high to what extent is high? Low,

low,

to

what

extent

is

low?

Do

you

inhale

or

smoke

once

or

twice?

(3) strong, high, strong, what period can chase, what period

can not chase? Chase, to what extent can you chase?

Oversold bounce, different people have different basis, then

the definition of the super, can be used to realize the

historical statistics. For example, the high point drops by

more than 60%, and in the form, volume, distribution, and so

on, technology has reached the appropriate, then this super,

that

is,

the

definition

of

Historical

statistics

should

be

the

success

rate

is

very

high

for,

if

that

is

still

very

low,

so this is not over.

Buy low sell high, from the form, the author believes that it

should

be

a

product

of

the

channel,

to

rail,

channel

out

of

reach

under the rail channel, bargain hunting (in your system using

Boolean

line

operation,

but

must

analyze

the

whole

trend

in

what

state, if in the consolidation trend is a technical analysis

indicator,

is

feasible

but

obviously

if

in

an

upward

or

downward

trend, the trend line and then use the channel line is a wise

choice

of

application,

in

order

to

avoid

the

use

of

such

a

trend

in

Bollinger

oscillating

refers

to

fuzzy

or

error

signal

number

issued). Under the rail channel are forever in the K, there

should

be

little

probability

on

hunters

system

signal.

The

rail

channel is always in the line above, there should be a small

probability

under

the

escape

signal

system.

With

Bollinger

with

wonderful music Yigong.

Strong chase high, when the index formed intermediate market

when only chasing high, this is relatively safe. You can also

run high in the down lane, but it depends on historical

statistics.

In

fact,

the

strong

pursuit

of

high

speed

is

a

kind

of irrational manipulation. In the period of picking up high,

certainly can have the funds in hand, market rise, this part

of the funds of transactions, so, if the above two trading

system, there is no ta. There is only a difference in speed.

4: control core

In the presence of signals in the trading system, there is a

need

for

money

management

to

reduce

the

uncertainty

(I

call

risk)

to maximum controllability, which is not the content of the

technology trading system. Suppose that a technology trading

system

with

a

70%

success

rate

would

increase

to

80%

if

it

were

managed by capital, and the success rate of the technology

trading system would be 80%, not 70%.

5: tracking core

During

the

signal

period

of

the

trading

system,

and

transaction

intervention. Is there a possibility that the market trend

tracking system will exist? If it exists, it will win

immediately.

Therefore,

a

good

trading

system

should

also

have

a good set of trend tracking systems that exist to determine

the end of the trend so that profits can be run.

6 core positions:

When the trading system has no signal period, whether we can

achieve

the positions required

psychological

quality,

a

major

issue to the success of the transaction system.

As

a result,

it

is clear

that

the

technology

trading system

is

only part of the trading system, not all. When the technology

trading system signals, it is not the system that makes

decisions, but actually the people make the behavioral

decisions in a comprehensive way. A good trading system

includes mentality, technology, requirements, patience,

control, and so on. Therefore, trading system is a

comprehensive

analysis

system.

To

determine

the

right timing,

the

right

choice,

the

right

behavior,

and

the

correct

behavior

of the decision- making system.

Own trading system

1: transaction flow chart and matters needing attention

2, fund management and Countermeasures

3: index top and bottom analysis method