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However,
it
has
been
demonstrated
that
long-termoutcomes
of
anti-VEGF
treatment
are
disappointing
atapproximately
7
years
after
ranibizumab
therapy
in
theANCHOR
and
MARINA
trials in which one-
third of patientsdemonstrated good visual
outcomes, whereas another third
had
poor
outcomes.
Compared
with
baseline,
almost
half
ofeyes
were
stable,
whereas
one-third
declined
by
15
letters
ormore.
Even
at
this
late
stage
in
the
therapeutic
course,
patientswith neovascular AMD remain at
risk for substantial visualdecline.
Advantages of cohort studies
Cohort
studies
have
many
appealing
features.
They
arethe
best
way
to
ascertain
both
the
incidence and naturalhistory of a
disorder. The temporal sequence betweenputative
cause and
outcome is usually clear: the
exposedand unexposed can often be seen to be free
of theoutcome
at
the
outset.
By
contrast,
this
chicken-eggquestion
often
frustrates
cross-sectional
and
case-controlstudies. For
example, in a case-control study, patientswith
chronic widespread pain
were more
likely to havemental illness than controls. Do
mood and anxietydisorders increase this
risk,
or
do
patients
with
chronicpain
develop
mood
and
anxiety
disorders
as
a
result
oftheir
disorder?
队列研究有许多吸引人的特性。
他们是确定发病率和自然历史的障碍的最好的方法。
假定的
原因和结果之间的时间序列通常是明确的
:
公开和未
曝光
,
经常可以看到在一开始是免费的结
果。相比之下
,
这个先问题往往使横断面和病例对照研究。例
如
,
在病例对照研究中
,
慢性广泛
疼痛患者更有可能比控制精神疾病。做的心境和焦虑障碍增加这种风
险
,
还是慢性疼痛患者
心境和焦虑障碍
的发展障碍
?
Cohort
studies
are
useful
in
investigation
of
multipleoutcomes
that
might
arise
after
a
single
exposure.
Aprototype
would
be
cigarette
smoking
(the
exposure)
andstroke,
emphysema,
oral
cancer, and heart
disease (theoutcomes). Although assessment of many
outcomes isoften cited
as
a
positive
attribute
of
cohort
studies,
thisfeature
can
be
abused.
For
example,
testing
theassociations
between exposure and many outcomes, butonly
reporting the significant ones,
represents
misleadingscience.
Investigators
should
preferably
have
plannedprimary
and
secondary
associations
to
examine(sometimes
called
hypothesis
confirmation).
Althoughinvestigators can look at other
outcomes (hypothesisgeneration), they should
report the
findings
of
allexaminations, not
just
significant
ones,
so
that
readers
cancorrectly
interpret
the
results.
队列研究
是有用的在调查多个单一曝光后可能产生的结果。
原型将吸烟
(
暴露
)
和中风
,
肺气肿
,
口腔癌症和心脏病
(
结果
)
。
虽然许多成果的评估通常被视为一个积极的属性群组研究
,
该特性
可以被滥用。例如
,
测
试风险之间的关联和很多结果
,
但只有报告重要的
,
代表误导科学。调查
人员应该更好地计划中小学协
会检查
(
有时称为假设确认
)
。尽管调查人员可以查看其他结果
(
假设一代<
/p>
),
他们应该报告所有考试的结果
,
p>
不仅是重要的
,
以便读者可以正确地解释结
果。
The
cohort
design
is
also
useful
in
the
study
of
rareexposures:
a
researcher
can
often
recruit
people
withuncommon
exposures
—
eg,
to
ionising
radiation
orchemicals
—
in
the
workplace.
A
hospital
or
factory
mightprovide
a
large
number
of
individuals
with
the
exposure
ofinterest,
which would be
rare in the general the investigator does not
assign exposure,
no ethicalconcerns
arise.
队列研究设计也很有用的罕见曝光
:
研究员通常可以招募患者少见
exposures-
eg,
电离辐射或
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