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2021-02-28 18:35
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2021年2月28日发(作者:pif)



Germany, France Seek 'True European Economic Government'


Eleven countries first began to use the euro in nineteen ninety-nine. Today seventeen of the


twenty-seven members of the European Union are in the euro area.



The euro's foreign exchange value has remained strong against the dollar and other


currencies. But economic growth in the euro area was only two


-tenths of one percent from


April to June. Europe's biggest economy, Germany, grew at half that rate.


Ireland, Portugal and Greece have all required rescues. Greece received emergency loans


twice.


Debt and other problems in southern Europe remain a big concern. Last week, the European


Central Bank bought more than thirty billion dollars in Italian and Spanish debt securities.


Italy and Spain have yet to recover from the worldwide recession. The purchases of their


government debt helped reduce their borrowing costs, but the bank


will probably have to act


again.


On Tuesday German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy met in


Paris. They discussed


economic governance for the euro


area


and cooperation


on budget and


tax policies. Chancellor Merkel said,


of fiscal integration.


ove close


r on


budget issues.


Their proposal calls for a


economic government.


would include the leaders


of the seventeen euro countries and would be led by the European Union president. The


current president is Herman Van Rompuy of Belgium.


The group would meet at least twice


a year.


One goal would be to control budget deficits for euro area countries.


Rules limit the deficits


of EU members to three percent of the


size of their economies. But many members, including


France, have bigger deficits than that.


The two leaders also proposed


a tax on financial dealings in Europe. But they did not support


the idea of


euro bonds. These


would


be loans guaranteed


by all euro countries instead


of only


the governments seeking them.


The European Commission says it supports the French and German proposals. The


commission proposes and enforces legislation for the EU. On Wednesday, EU spokesman


Olivier Bailly said the calls for an economic government were a step in the right direction.


OLIVIER BAILLY:


economic and monetary union.


What is happening now


since the beginning of the crisis and


what has been announced yesterday as a proposal by France and Germany go


exactly in this


direction.


But many experts question


whether European countries


will be


willing to surrender individual


powers and deal with their debt problems together.


Debt, Recession Worries Bring Volatility to World Markets



A


markets. If you want to use a more technical term, the markets are showing volatility.



Thursday was another example of a day of strong gains on the New York Stock Exchange


after a day of heavy losses.


Major measures


of United States markets have closed with their biggest


one


-day losses since


the financial crisis of two thousand eight. Asia and Europe have also had sharp declines.



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Volatile markets can react suddenly in wild and unpredictable ways. Usually some kind of


shock, or more than one, is involved.


For example, last Friday,


one of the three major credit rating agencies


downgraded long


-term


United States governm


ent debt. Standard & Poor's lowered its opinion of Treasury securities


one step from the highest rating, triple-A, to AA-plus.


But shocks like a hopeful jobs report or good earnings results can stop a fall and send prices


higher. (Also, when prices fall, investors may find good deals and start buying.)


The United States held S&P's top rating for seventy years and never had a downgrade. But


many investors were expecting that to happen even after the budget deal in Washington.


Congress last


week


agreed to increase the


government's borrowing limit in return for


steps to


cut spending and reduce the deficit.


S&P says it thinks America's debt


will only increase in the future. President


Obama


disagreed.


BARACK OBAMA:


agency to tell us that we need a balanced, long-term approach to deficit reduction. That was


true last week, that was true last year, that was true the day I took office.


He said this week that markets still consider United States credit


safest.


Still, there are growing worries of another recession -- a double dip. On Tuesday, policy


makers at the central bank said economic growth so far this year has been


slower


interest rates near zero for at least two more years.


Borrowing costs for the United States remain very low. But debt worries in two of Europe's


biggest economies have increased costs for their governments in recent weeks.


On Monday the European Central Bank began buying debt securities from Spain and Italy.


These efforts have helped push down interest rates for those countries. Nick Parsons, an


economist with the National Australia Bank, says the bank made the right move.


NICK PARSONS:


But he


also thinks the bank


will have to buy more. And Europe must still deal with the rescues


of Greece, Ireland and Portugal.


A Debt Deal in US, but Stocks Still Slide



This week President Obam


a signed a bill raising the nation's borrowing limit. That debt deal,


however, failed to keep


stock markets from dropping.


Prices fell sharply on


growing


economic


concerns about the United States and the world.


The legislation followed months of arguing that only added to those concerns. Congress sent


the bill to the president to sign into law on Tuesday. That was the last day the government


said it had enough money to make all of its payments.


The Budget Control Act of 2011 lets the government seek financing to pay its bills until


twenty-thirteen. Congress agreed to lift the debt ceiling by over two


trillion dollars, but also


to make spending cuts.


President Obama said it was a starting point.


BARACK OBAMA:


reduction. It's an important first step to ensuring that as a nation, we live within our means.


Yet it also allows us to keep making key investments in things like education and research



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that lead to new jobs. And assures that we're not cutting too abruptly while the economy is


still fragile.


Richard Gordon worked with the International Monetary Fund for nearly ten years. He says


there is a risk in cutting the federal budget too much when unemployment is high.


RICHARD GORDON:


ent does not put money into the economy, the


economy will stall. And that will result in another recession, and that cannot help anybody.


The national debt is more than fourteen trillion dollars. At the end of last year, private


investors in the United States held the largest share -- thirty-six percent of that government


debt. China was the single largest foreign holder of Treasury securities, followed by Japan


and Britain.


On Wednesday, China's Dagong credit rating agency downgraded American debt. It said the


budget deal did nothing to improve the United States' ability to pay its debts. Still, the


government has had no trouble finding investors, and its borrowing costs have even fallen.


The Budget Control Act calls for almost one trillion dollars in spending cuts over ten years. A


committee of six Democrats and six Republicans will have to identify another trillion and a


half dollars in deficit reductions.


What happens if the committee cannot agree? Then an enforcement measure known as a


trigger would go into effect. It would cut money from dom


estic and defense programs, but


not in popular social programs for retirees and the poor.


The budget deal contained no tax increases, but that issue has not gone away. Richard


Gordon -- now


a law professor


at Case


Western University in Cleveland, Ohio -- says the deal


leaves a big question.


Indonesia's 'Technopreneurs' Help Fuel Economic Growth



Indonesia has one of the world's fastest growing economies, expanding at a rate of six


percent this year. Technology is helping fuel that growth, and producing


a new generation of


young entrepreneurs.


One of these


School in Boston, Massachusetts. He returned home and launched Go


-Jek. This service


connects motorcycle taxis, called ojeks, with people who need a ride or a delivery.


Go-Jek uses online maps, mobile phones and a call center. The aim is to improve Jakarta's


disorganized motorcycle taxi system. Nadiem Makarim says everything depends on a


business plan.


NADIEM MAKARIM:


you want sustainable impact, then you need a market incentive to do that. I firmly believe


that business and just straight up rational business growth, profitable business growth and


social impact are not mutually exclusive.


Go-Jek recently won ten thousand dollars in a competition through the American State


Department's Global Entrepreneurship Program. Indonesia is one of five countries in this


program which links startup businesses with investors.


Many startups are Internet-based services. Indonesia already has more than seven hundred


startups online, and new ones are launched every week. Half of Indonesians still live on less


than two dollars a day. But Indonesia has a young population interested in trying new


technology.



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