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2021-02-19 14:54
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2021年2月19日发(作者:hara)


CHAPTER 2



Strategic Human Resource Planning



After you have read this chapter, you should be able to:




Discuss why human resources can be a core competency for


organizations.




Explain


how


organizational


culture


and


industry


life-cycle


stages affect HR strategies and activities.






Define HR planning and outline the HR planning process.


Discuss why external environmental scanning is an important


part of HR planning and what factors must be considered.




Explain how an internal assessment of current jobs and skills


is vital to HR planning.




Identify what a human resource information system (HRIS) is


and why it is useful when doing HR planning.




Identify factors to be considered in forecasting the supply and


demand for human resources in an organization.




Discuss


several


ways


to


manage


a


surplus


of


human


resources.



HR TRANSITIONS



Welfare to Work




Employers who participate in welfare-to-work programs have found


that


many


welfare


recipients


wanted


to


work


but


had


inadequate


education, skills, or work habits.



To


fill


many


jobs,


particularly


those


requiring


lower


knowledge,


skills, and abilities, HR managers increasingly are having to use people


who


are


out


of


work



those


on


welfare



and


many


success


stories


are


being told.


The tight labor market has not been the only factor motivating HR


managers to hire welfare workers. A major impetus has been the Personal


Responsibility and Welfare Reconciliation Act of 1996. This act required


that by September 1997, 25% of individuals receiving welfare assistance


be employed or in work training programs. The percentage increases each


year to 50% by September 2002. To attain these targets, many employers


are


“encouraged”


to


hire



welfare


recipients


through


tax


incentives


and


wage-subsidy


programs


during


the


early


tenure


of


workers


formerly


on


welfare.


What some employers initially


saw as a “social responsibility” has



evolved


into


a


source


of


workers


to


fill


jobs,


enabling


organizations


to


expand their workforces in order to meet business objectives. One study


by


the


Welfare


to


Work


Partnership,


composed


of


over


5,000


member


companies,


found


that


in


one


year


135,000


welfare


recipients


had


been


hired by U.S. companies. The study also reported that over one million


welfare


recipients


had


stopped


receiving


welfare


benefits


because


of


getting


jobs,


entering


work


training


programs,


or


being


dropped


from


welfare.


Employers who participate in welfare- to-work programs have found


that


many


welfare


recipients


wanted


to


work


but


had


inadequate


education,


skills,


or


work


habits.


Consequently,


both


government


and


employersponsored


programs


have


been


established


to


assist


the


welfare-to-work


transition.


In


Tulsa,


Oklahoma,


Zebco



a


leading


manufacturer of fishing equipment



and the Metropolitan Tulsa Chamber


of Commerce developed a program to teach welfare recipients workplace


skills.


During


the


six-month


program,


individuals


attend


classroom


training four hours daily to learn both educational skills and how to get


and hold jobs. Typical topics covered in this training program, as well as


in


programs


elsewhere,


include


the


importance


of


being


on


time,


what


transportation arrangements exist, how to find child-care providers, how


to dress for work, and how to interview.


Interestingly,


because


a


number


of


welfare


recipients


are


single


mothers, some private-sector child-care providers have had success hiring


women on welfare as day- care workers.


Despite


the


relatively


low


wages


paid


in


the


child-care


industry,


about twothirds of the former welfare recipients are still employed after


one year.


About


80%


of


those


who


completed


the


Tulsa


program


are


still


working.


Here are some other success stories:




Sprint Corporation:


About


85%


of


the


former


welfare


recipients


were


still


employed


as


telephone


operators


after


six


months,


compared


with


only


33%


of


the


non-welfare


recipients


hired


into


the


same job at the same time.




United Airlines:


Over


500


of


the


760


former


welfare


recipients hired were still with the airline a year later.




Giant Foods:


Over 100 welfare recipients had been hired as


cashiers,


pharmacy


clerks,


baker’s



assistants,


and


etc.,


and


about


80%


were still employed after the 90-day introductory period.




Marriott Corporation: A


leader


in


welfare-to-work


programs,


Marriott


has


hired


several


thousand


welfare


recipients.


Their


success


is


measured by the fact that almost 70% are still with Marriott. All of these


examples


illustrate


that


additional


sources


for


a


sufficient


supply


of


human resources are being tapped by employers as part of meeting their


HR planning needs. The examples also illustrate that a broad range of HR


activities,


but


especially


training,


must


be


seen


as


integral


to


organizations in obtaining the human resources needed for the future.



Plan Ahead: it wasn’t raining when Noah built the ark.


RICHARDC



This


chapter


deals


with


planning


for


the


human


resources


that


the


organization


will


need


in


the


future.


The


opening


discussion


of


using


welfare- to-work programs as a future source of human resources is one


means.


But


any


description


of


HR


planning


must


begin


on


a


level


one


step higher



with the overall strategic plan of the organization. Strategic


planning


can


be


defined


as


the


process


of


identifying


organizational


objectives and the actions needed to achieve those objectives. It involves


analyzing


such


areas


as


finance,


marketing,


and


human


resources


to


determine the capacities of the organization to meet its objectives.


The


process


of


strategic


planning


can


be


thought


of


as


circular


in


nature.


As


Figure


2



1


shows,


the


process


begins


with


identifying


and


recognizing


the


philosophy


and


mission


of


the


organization.


This


first


step addresses the most fundamental questions about the organization:








Why does the organization exist?


What unique contribution does it make?


What are the underlying values and motivations of owners and


key managers?


Once the philosophy and mission of the organization are identified,


the


next


requirement


is


to


scan


the


environment.


This


scanning


is


especially important when rapid changes are occurring, such as in the last


several


years.


HR


managers


also


need


the


results


of


environmental


scanning.


For


example,


some


questions


might


be:


What


recruiting


approaches are competitors currently using to attract



scarce


specialties?


How


are


competitors


using


welfare-to-work


programs?


Will


a


new


product


under


development


require


a


production


process using an expanded number of workers with different knowledge


and skills? Answers to these questions illustrate that HR managers must


be able to predict what capabilities employees will have to implement the


business


strategy.


Workforce


patterns


and


conditions,


social


values


and


lifestyles,


and


technological


developments


are


some


external


factors


to


consider.


After external forces are examined, an internal assessment is made


of what the organization


can


do


before


a


decision


is


reached


on


what


it



should do.


Internal


strengths


and


weaknesses


must


be


identified


in


light


of


the


philosophy


and


culture


of


the


organization.


Factors


such


as


current workforce skills, retirement patterns, and demographic profiles of


current


employees


are


items


that


relate


to


human


resource


capabilities.


Next


comes


forecasting


organizational


capabilities


and


future


opportunities in the environment to match organizational objectives and


strategies.


The


development


of


strategies


and


objectives


often


is


based


on


a



SWOT analysis, which examines the strengths and weaknesses of the


organizations internally and the opportunities and threats externally. The


purpose


of


the


SWOT


analysis


is


to


develop


strategies


that


align


organizational strengths with opportunities externally, to identify internal


weaknesses to be addressed, and to acknowledge threats that could affect


organizational success.


Finally, specific plans are developed to identify how strategies will


be


implemented.


Details


of


the


plans


become


the


basis


for


implementation


and


later


adjustments.


Like


all


plans,


they


must


be


monitored,


adjusted,


and


updated


continually.


The


strategic


planning


process


is


circular,


since


the


environment


is


always


changing


and


a


specific step in the process must be repeated continually.



Organizational Strategy and Human Resources



The


development


of


specific


business


strategies


must


be


based


on


the


areas


of


strength


that


an


organization


has.


Referred


to


as


core


competencies


by


Hamel


and


Prahalad,


they


are


the


foundation


for


creating


the


competitive


advantage


for


an


organization.


A


core


competency


is


a


unique


capability


in


the


organization


that


creates


high


value and that differentiates the organization from its competition.



Human


Resources


as


a


Core


Competency


Certainly,


many


organizations


have


voiced


the


idea


that


their


human


resources


differentiate them from their competitors. Organizations as widely diverse


as


Federal


Express,


Nordstrom’s


Department


Stores,


and


Gateway


Computers have focused on human resources as having special strategic


value for the organization. The significance of human resources as a core


competency was confirmed in a study of 293 U.S. firms. The study found


that


HR


management


effectiveness


positively


affected


organizational


productivity, financial performance, and stock market value.


Some


ways


that


human


resources


become


a


core


competency


are


through attracting and retaining employees with unique professional and


technical


capabilities,


investing


in


training


and


development


of


those


employees, and compensating them in ways that keep them competitive


with


their


counterparts


in


other


organizations.


The


value


of


human


resources


was


demonstrated


several


years


ago,


when


United


Parcel


Service workers went on strike. In offices around the country, customers


had concerns that the brown- shirted UPS drivers, whom customers often


knew


by


their


first


names,


were


not


working.


Fortunately


for


UPS,


its


drivers,


and


their


customers,


the


strike


was


settled


relatively


quickly.


Another


illustration


is


what


happened


in


the


banking


industry


with


the


many mergers and acquisitions. Smaller, community-oriented banks have


picked


up


numerous


small-


and


medium-sized


commercial


loan


customers because they


emphasize that “you can talk to the same person,”


rather than having to call an automated service center in another state.



Resource-Based Organizational Strategies


There has been growing recognition that human resources contribute


to sustaining a competitive advantage for organizations. Jay Barney and


others have


focused on


four factors that are


important to organizational


strategic accomplishments.4 Those factors, called the VRIO framework,


are related to human resources as follows:




Value:


Human


resources


that


can


create


value


are


those


that


can


respond


to


external


threats


and


opportunities.


Having


this


ability


means that employees can make decisions and be innovative when faced


with environmental changes.




Rareness:


The


special


capabilities


of


people


in


the


organization


provide


it


significant


advantages.


Especially


important


is


that


the


human


resources


in


an


organization


be


provided


training


and


development


to


enhance


their


capabilities,


so


that


they


are


continually


seen


as


“the


best”


by


customers


and


industry


colleagues.


This


rareness


also helps in attracting and retaining employees with scarce and unique


knowledge, skills, and abilities. Reducing employee turnover is certainly


important in preserving the rareness of human resources.




Imitability:Human


resources


have


a


special


strategic


value


when they cannot be easily imitated by others. Southwest Airlines, Disney,


and Marriott Corporation each have created images with customers and


competitors


that


they


are


different


and


better


at


customer


service.


Any


competitors trying to copy the


HR management “culture” created in these


organizations


would


have


to


significantly


change


many


organizational


and HR aspects.




Organization:


The


human


resources


must


be


organized


in


order for an entity to take advantage of the competitive advantages just


noted.


This


means


that


the


human


resources


must


be


able


to


work


effectively


together,


and


have


HR


policies


and


programs


managed


in


ways that support the people working in the organization.


Using


a


VRIO


framework


as


the


foundation


for


HR


management


means that people are truly seen as assets, not as expenses. It also means


that


the


culture


of


organizations


must


be


considered


when


developing


organizational and HR strategies.



Organizational Culture and HR Strategy Organizational culture is a


pattern


of


shared


values


and


beliefs giving


members


of


an


organization


meaning and providing them with rules for behavior.


These


values


are


inherent


in


the


ways


organizations


and


their


members


view


themselves,


define


opportunities,


and


plan


strategies.


Much


as personality


shapes


an individual,


organizational culture


shapes


its members’ responses and defines


what an organization can or is willing


to do.


The


culture


of


an


organization


is


seen


in


the


norms


of


expected


behaviors,


values,


philosophies,


rituals,


and


symbols


used


by


its


employees. Culture evolves over a period of time. Only if an organization


has a history in which people have shared experiences for years does a


culture


stabilize.


A


relatively


new


firm,


such


as


a


business


existing


for


less than two years, probably has not developed a stabilized culture.


Managers


must


consider


the


culture


of


the


organization


because


otherwise


excellent


strategies


can


be


negated


by


a


culture


that


is


incompatible


with


the


strategies.


Further,


it


is


the


culture


of


the


organization, as viewed by the people in it, that affects the attraction and


retention of competent employees.5 Numerous examples can be given of


key


technical,


professional,


and


administrative


employees


leaving


firms


because


of


corporate


cultures


that


seem


to


devalue


people


and


create


barriers


to


the


use


of


individual


capabilities.


In


contrast,


by


creating


a


culture


that


values


people


highly,


some


corporations


have


been


very


successful at attracting, training, and retaining former welfare recipients.


The


culture


of


an organization


also


affects the


way


external


forces


are viewed.


In


one


culture,


external


events


are


seen


as


threatening,


whereas


another


culture


views


risks


and


changes


as


challenges


requiring


immediate


responses.


The


latter


type


of


culture


can


be


a


source


of


competitive


advantage,


especially


if


it


is


unique


and


hard


to


duplicate.


This is especially true as an organization evolves through the life cycle in


an industry.



Organization/Industry Life-Cycle Stages and HR Strategy


As noted, organizations go through evolutionary life cycles, and the


stage


in


which


an


organization


finds


itself


in


an


industry


affects


the


human resource strategies it should use. For example, the HR needs of a


small, three-year-old hightechnology software firm will be different from


those of Netscape or America Online. The relationship between the life


cycle


of


an


organization


and


HR


management


activities


is


profiled


in


Figure 2



2.6



EMBRYONIC


At the embryonic stage a high-risk, entrepreneurial


spirit pervades the organization. Because the founders often operate with


limited


financial


resources,


base


pay


often


is


modest.


When


skills


are


needed, the organization recruits and hires individuals who already have


the


necessary


capabilities.


Training


and


development


are


done


on


an


as-needed basis.



GROWTH


During


the


growth


stage,


the


organization


needs


investments to expand facilities, marketing, and human resources to take


advantage of the demand for its products and services. Often, backlog and


scheduling problems indicate that the organization has grown faster than


its


ability


to


handle


the


demand.


Extensive


efforts


are


made


to


recruit


employees to handle the expanded workload. It is also important to have


HR plans, and planning processes, rather than just reacting to immediate


pressures.


Compensation


practices


have


to


become


more


market-competitive


in


order


to


attract


sufficient


employees


with


the


necessary


capabilities.


Communicating


with


those


employees


about


career opportunities affects their retention, so career planning efforts and


HR development efforts to support them are expanded.



SHAKEOUTS


In


the


shakeout


stage


the


industry


reacts


to


rapid


growth, and not all firms will continue to exist. Some will be bought out


by


other


larger


competitors;


others


will


fade


from


the


industry.


The


explosive growth in Internet businesses



and


the


consolidations


of


Internet


providers


by


such


firms


as


America


Online,


Microsoft,


and


Yahoo


illustrate


how


shakeouts


occur.


Regarding HR management in a shakeout industry, competition to retain


human resources is important, especially while restructuring and reducing


the number of jobs to control costs.


Compensation costs must be monitored, but a balance is required in


order


to


retain


key


employees


using


short-


and


longer-term


incentives.


HR


development


is


focused


on


high- potential,


scarce-skilled


employees


who


are


seen


as


ones


who


will


ensure


that


the


organization


is


a


major


player following the shakeout.



MATURITY In


the


maturity


stage,


the


organization


and


its


culture


are stabilized. Size and success enable the organization to develop even


more


formalized


plans,


policies,


and


procedures.


Often,


organizational


politics


flourish


and


HR


activities


expand.


Compensation


programs


become a


major focus for HR efforts, and they are expanded to reward


executives as well. Extensive HR development occurs, coordinated by an


internal training staff.



DECLINE


The


organization


in


the


decline


stage


faces


resistance


to change. Numerous examples can be cited in the manufacturing sectors


of the U.S. economy.


Manufacturing


firms


have


had


to


reduce


their


workforces,


close


plants, and use their accumulated profits from the past to diversify into


other


industries.


During


the


decline


stage,


employers


try


certain


HR


practices such as productivityenhancement and cost-reduction programs.


Unionized


workers


resist


the


decline


by


demanding


no


pay


cuts


and


greater job-security provisions in their contracts.


Nevertheless,


employers


are


compelled


to


reduce


their


workforces


through attrition, early retirement incentives, and major facility closings.



Linking Organizational Strategies and HR Plans


Strategic


planning


must


include


planning


for


human


resources


to


carry out the rest of the plan. Figure 2



3 shows the relationship among


the variables that



ultimately


determine


the


HR


plans


an


organization


will


develop.


Business


strategy


affects


strategies


and


activities


in


the


HR


area.


For


example, several years ago, a large bank began planning to become one


of the top financial institutions in the country. Two parts of its strategic


plan


were


(1)


to


adopt


a


global


focus


and


(2)


to


improve


service.


HR


plans


to


support


global


goals


included


integrating


compensation


and


benefits


systems


and


hiring


policies


for


international


operations


and


domestic


operations.


Service


improvement


plans


hinged


on


welltrained,


capable first- level employees. But an HR diagnosis turned up basic skills


deficiencies


in


employees.


As


a


result


of


HR


planning,


a


series


of


programs designed to remedy basic skills problems in the workforce was


developed.


The


coordination


of


company-wide


strategic


planning


and


strategic


HR


planning


was


successful


in


this


case


because


HR


plans


supported corporate strategic plans.


There are many possible approaches to understanding the strategies


that an organization may choose.7 To illustrate the relationship between


strategy


and


HR,


two


basic


business


strategies


can


be


identified:


cost-leadership and differentiation.8


Figure


2



4


compares


HR


needs


under


each


strategy


and


suggests


the HR approaches that may be most appropriate.9 The first strategy may


be appropriate in a relatively stable business environment. It approaches


competition


on


the


basis


of


low


price


and


high


quality


of


product


or


service. The differential strategy is more appropriate in a more dynamic


environment


characterized


by


rapid


change


(such


as


the


computer


software industry). It requires continually finding new products and new


markets. The two categories may not be mutually exclusive, because it is


possible


for


an


organization


to


pursue


one


strategy


in


one


product


or


service area and a different one with others.


The


cost-


leadership


strategy


requires


an


organization


to


“build”


its


own


employees


to


fit


its


specialized


needs.


This


approach


requires


a


longer HR planning horizon. When specific skills are found to be needed


for


a


new


market


or


product,


it


may


be


more


difficult


to


internally


develop


them


quickly.


However,


with


a


differentiation


strategy,


responsiveness means that HR planning is likely to have a shorter time


frame,


and


greater


use


of


external


sources


will


be


used


to


staff


the


organization.


The


HR


Perspective


discusses


a


study


that


examined


the


involvement


of


HR


executives


when


determining


organizational


strategies and core competencies.



H R




P E R S P E C T I V E


Research


on


Human


Resources


as


a


Core


Competency


and


Organizational Strategy


A


group


of


researchers


(Wright,


McMahan,


McCormick,


and


Sherman) conducted a study of the effect of organizational strategy, core


competencies, and HR executive involvement on both organizational and


HR


management


performance


in


some


petrochemical


refineries.


As


reported


in


Human


Resource


Management,


the


researchers


mailed


surveys to all petrochemical refineries in the United States and received


responses from 86 of them.


The


surveys


asked


about


each


refin


ery’s


organizational


strategy,


as



reflected


in


the


product


mix


produced


and


the


refinery’s


financial



performance.


The


surveys


also


asked


petrochemical


HR


executives


to


evaluate employee skills and motivations and indicate the involvement of


HR executives in the strategic management of their firms.



The study results showed that HR involvement in strategic decision


making


is


more


positive


when


the


refinery


was


following


a


product


innovation strategy instead of one emphasizing cost control. Interestingly,


the


relationship


between


HR


executives


and


the


effectiveness


of


HR


activities was higher where skilled employees were seen as being a core


competency of he refinery.


Using both of these findings,


the


researchers


suggest that


when


an


organizational strategy of differentiation and innovation is being followed,


then human resources are a core competency supporting that strategy. In


those


situations,


HR


executives


are


more


involved


as


strategic


decision-makers, thus allowing them to ensure that human resources are


viewed as a “core”


strength of the organization. However, when human


resources are seen as costs to be constricted when a cost-control strategy


is


being


followed,


then


HR


executives


are


not


as


heavily


involved


in


organizational strategic decision making.


Human Resource Planning



The


competitive


organizational


strategy


of


the


firm


as


a


whole


becomes


the


basis


for


human


resource


(HR)


planning,


which


is


the


process


of


analyzing


and


identifying


the


need


for


and


availability


of


human


resources


so


that


the


organization


can


meet


its


objectives.


This


section


discusses


HR


planning


responsibilities,


the


importance


of


HR


planning in small and entrepreneurial organizations, and the HR planning


process.



HR Planning Responsibilities


In


most


organizations


that


do


HR


planning,


the


top


HR


executive


and subordinate staff specialists have most of the responsibilities for this


planning.


However,


as


Figure


2



5


indicates,


other


managers


must


provide


data


for


the


HR


specialists


to


analyze.


In


turn,


those


managers


need


to


receive


data


from


the


HR


unit.


Because


top


managers


are


responsible for overall strategic planning, they usually ask the HR unit to


project the human resources needed to implement overall organizational


goals.



HR


Planning


in


Evolving


Small


and


Entrepreneurial


Organizations


HR


management


and


ultimately


HR


planning


are


critical


in


small


and


entrepreneurial


organizations.


“People


problems”


are


among


the


most


frustrating ones faced by small- business owners and entrepreneurs.



EVOLUTION OF HR ACTIVITIES


At


the


beginning


of


a


small


business’s


existence,



only


very


basic


HR


activities


must


be


performed.


Compensation


and


governmentmandated


benefits


must


be


paid.


As


the


organization


evolves,


more


employees


must


be


recruited


and


selected.


Also, some orientation and on-the-job training are necessary, though they


are often done haphazardly.


The evolution of the business proceeds through several stages. The


focus of each stage reflects the needs of the organization at the time. In


the initial stage, the organization first hires an HR clerk, then possibly an


HR


administrator.


As


the


organization


grows,


it


may


add


more


HR


professionals, often including an employment or benefits specialist. With


further growth, other specialists, such as trainers, may be needed. From


this point, additional clerical and specialist employees can be added, and


separate


functional


departments


(employment,


compensation,


benefits,


and training) can evolve.



SMALL BUSINESS AND FAMILY ISSUES


One


factor


often


affecting


the


planning


of


HR


activities


in


small


firms


is


family


considerations.


Particular


difficulties


arise


when


a


growing


business


is


passed


on


from


one


generation


to


another,


resulting


in


a


mix


of


family


and nonfamily employees. Some family members may use employees as


“pawns” in disagreements with o


ther family members in the firm.


Also, nonfamily employees may see different HR policies and rules


being used for family members than for them.


Key to the successful transition of a business from one generation to


another is having a clearly identified HR plan. Crucial in small businesses


is


incorporating


the


role


of


key


nonfamily


members


with


HR


planning


efforts.


Often,


nonfamily


members


have


important


capabilities


and


expertise that family members do not possess. Therefore, planning for the


attraction and retention of these



outsiders” may be vital to the future


success


of


smaller


organizations.


One


survey


of


over


3,000


small


businesses


found


that


management


succession


was


one


of


the


top


challenges faced by family-owned firms.11


It


even


may


be


that


the


nonfamily members will assume top management leadership roles, with


some


or


all


family


members


who


are


owners


serving


on


the


Board


of


Directors,


but


not


being


active


managers


in


the


firm.


Additionally,


nonfamily executives may be the intermediaries who focus on the needs


of


the


business


when


familymember


conflicts


arise.


Small


businesses,


depending on how small they are, may use the HR planning that follows,


but


in


very


small


organizations


the


process


is


much


more


intuitive


and


often done entirely by the top executives, who often are family members.



HR Planning Process


The


steps


in


the


HR


planning


process


are


shown


in


Figure


2



6.


Notice


that


the


HR


planning


process


begins


with


considering


the


organizational objectives and strategies. Then both external and internal


assessments of HR needs and supply sources must be done and forecasts


developed.


Key


to


assessing


internal


human


resources


is


having


solid


information,


which


is


accessible


through


a


human


resource


information


system (HRIS).


Once the assessments are complete, forecasts must be developed to


identify the mismatch between HR supply and HR demand. HR strategies


and


plans


to


address


the


imbalance,


both


short


and


long


term,


must


be


developed.


HR


strategies


are


the


means


used


to


aid


the


organization


in


anticipating and managing the supply and demand for human resources.


These HR strategies provide overall direction for how HR activities will


be developed and managed. Finally, specific HR plans are developed to


provide more specific direction for the management of HR activities.



DEVELOPING THE HR PLAN


The HR plan must be guided by


longer-term


plans.


For


example,


in


planning


for


human


resources,


an


organization


must


consider


the


allocation


of


people


to


jobs


over


long


periods of time



not just for the next month or even the next year. This


allocation


requires knowledge


of any


foreseen


expansions


or reductions


in


operations


and


any


technological


changes


that


may


affect


the


organization.


On


the


basis


of


such


analyses,


plans


can


be


made


for


shifting


employees


within


the


organization,


laying


off


or


otherwise


cutting back the number of employees, or retraining present employees.


Factors


to


consider


include


the


current


level


of


employee


knowledge,


skills,


and


abilities


in


an


organization


and


the


expected


vacancies


resulting from retirement, promotion, transfer, sick leave, or discharge.


In


summary,


the


HR


plan


provides


a


road


map


for


the


future,


identifying where employees are likely to be obtained, when employees


will be needed, and what training and development employees must have.


Through


succession


planning,


employee


career


paths


can


be


tailored


to


individual


needs


that


are


consistent


with


organizational


requirements.


Succession plans are discussed in more detail in Chapter 11.


Further,


the


compensation


system


has


to


fit


with


the


performance


appraisal system, which must fit with HR development decisions, and so


on.


In


summary,


the


different


HR


activities


must


be


aligned


with


the


general business strategy, as well as the overall HR strategy, in order to


support business goals.



EV


ALUATING HR PLANNING


If HR planning is done well, the


following benefits should result:




Upper


management


has a


better view of the human


resource


dimensions of business decisions.




HR


costs


may


be


lower


because


management


can


anticipate


imbalances before they become unmanageable and expensive.




More


time


is


available


to


locate


talent


because


needs


are


anticipated and identified before the actual staffing is required.




Better


opportunities


exist


to


include


women


and


minority


groups in future growth plans.




Development of managers can be better planned.


To the extent that these results can be measured, they can form the


basis for evaluating the success of HR planning. Another approach is to


measure projected levels of demand against actual levels at some point in


the future. But the most telling evidence of successful HR planning is an


organization in which the human resources are consistently aligned with


the needs of the business over a period of time.



Scanning the External Environment



At


the


heart


of


strategic


planning


is


the


knowledge


gained


from


scanning the external environment for changes. Environmental scanning


is the process of studying the environment of the organization to pinpoint


opportunities


and


threats.


Scanning


especially


affects


HR


planning


because


each


organization


must


draw


from


the


same


labor


market


that


supplies


all


other


employers.


Indeed,


one


measure


of


organizational


effectiveness is the ability of an organization to compete for a sufficient


supply of human resources with the appropriate capabilities.


Many


factors


can


influence


the


supply


of


labor


available


to


an


employer.


Some


of


the


more


significant


environmental


factors


are


identified in Figure 2



7. They include government influences; economic,


geographic,


and


competitive


conditions;


workforce


composition;


and


work patterns.



Government Influences


A major element that affects labor supply is the government. Today,


managers are confronted with an expanding and often bewildering array


of government rules as regulation of HR activities has steadily increased.


As a result, HR planning must be done by individuals who understand the


legal requirements of various government regulations.


Government trade policies and restrictions can affect HR planning.


Under


a


closed- import


policy,


foreign


firms


may


establish


more


American-based


manufacturing


operations


using


American


labor.


An


open-import


policy,


on


the


other


hand,


creates


an


entirely


different


economic labor environment.


Tax


legislation


at


local,


state,


and


federal


levels


also


affects


HR


planning. Pension provisions and Social Security legislation may change


retirement patterns and funding options. Elimination or expansion of tax


benefits for job-training expenses might alter some job-training activities


associated


with


workforce


expansions.


Employee


benefits


may


be


affected significantly by tax law changes. Tax credits for


employee day


care and financial aid for education may affect employer



practices


in


recruiting


and


retaining


workers.


In


summary,


an


organization


must


consider


a


wide


variety


of


government


policies,


regulations, and laws when doing HR planning.



Economic Conditions


The general business cycle of recessions and booms also affects HR


planning.


Such


factors


as


interest


rates,


inflation,


and


economic


growth


help


determine the availability of workers and figure into organizational plans


and


objectives.


Decisions


on


wages,


overtime,


and


hiring


or


laying


off


workers


all


hinge


on


economic


conditions.


For


example,


suppose


economic conditions lead to a decrease in the unemployment rate. There


is a considerable difference between finding qualified applicants in a 3%


unemployment market and in a 7% unemployment market.


In


the


3%


unemployment


market,


significantly


fewer


qualified


applicants are likely to be available for any kind of position. Those who


are available may be less employable because they are less educated, less


skilled, or unwilling to work. As the unemployment rate rises, the number


of


qualified


people


looking


for


work


increases,


making


it


easier


to


fill


jobs.



Geographic and Competitive Concerns


Employers must consider the following geographic and competitive


concerns in making HR plans:










Net migration into the area


Other employers in the area


Employee resistance to geographic relocation


Direct competitors in the area




Impact of international competition on the area


The net migration into a particular region is important. For example,


in the past decade, the population of U.S. cities in the South, Southwest,


and West have grown rapidly and provided a ready source of labor.


Other


employers


in


a


geographic


region


can


greatly


expand


or


diminish


the


labor


supply.


If,


for


example,


a


large


military


facility


is


closing or moving to another geographic location, a large supply of good


civilian labor, previously employed by the military, may be available for a


while. In contrast, the opening of a new plant may decrease the supply of


potential employees in a labor market for some time.


Within the last decade, there has been growing reluctance on the part


of


many


workers,


especially


those


with


working


spouses,


to


accept


geographic relocation as a precondition of moving up in the organization.


This


trend


has


forced


organizations


to


change


their


employee


development policies and practices, as well as their HR plans.


Direct


competitors


are


another


important external


force in


staffing.


Failure to consider the competitive labor market and to offer pay scales


and benefits competitive with those of organizations in the same general


industry and geographic location may cost a company dearly in the long


run.


Underpaying


or


“undercompeting”


may


result


in


a


much


lower-quality workforce.


Finally, the impact of international competition, as well as numerous


other


external


factors,


must


be


considered


as


part


of


environmental


scanning.


A


global


competition


for


labor


appears


to


be


developing


as


global competitors shift jobs and workers around the world.


Workforce


Composition


and


Work


Patterns


Changes


in


the


composition


of


the


workforce,


combined


with


the


use


of


varied


work


patterns,


have


created


workplaces


and


organizations


that


are


very


different from those of a decade ago. As noted in Chapter 1, demographic


shifts


have


resulted


in


greater


workforce


diversity.


Many


organizations


are


addressing


concerns


about


having


sufficient


workers


with


the


necessary


capabilities,


and


have


turned


to


such


sources


as


welfare-to-work


programs.


The


use


of


outsourcing


and


contingent


workers also must be considered as part of human resource planning. As


Figure


2



8


indicates,


part-time


employees


are


used


in


various


ways.


Working


patterns


and


arrangements


are


also


shifting,


and


these


shifts


must be considered during HR planning.



ALTERNATIVE WORK SCHEDULES


The


traditional


work


schedule,


in


which


employees


work


full


time,


8


hours


a


day,


5


days


a


week at the employer’s place of


operations, is in transition. Organizations


have been experimenting with many different possibilities for change: the


4-day,


40-hour


week;


the


4-day,


32-hour


week;


the


3-day


week;


and


flexible


scheduling.


Many


employers


have


adopted


some


flexibility


in


work schedules and locations. Changes of this nature must be considered


in HR planning. These alternative work schedules allow organizations to


make


better


use


of workers


by


matching


work


demands


to


work hours.


Workers


also


are


better


able


to


balance


their


work


and


family


responsibilities.


One type of schedule redesign is flextime, in which employees work


a


set


number


of


hours


per


day


but


vary


starting


and


ending


times.


The


traditional starting and ending times of the 8-hour work shift can vary up


to one


or


more


hours


at


the beginning


and


end


of


the normal


workday.


Flextime allows management


to relax some of the traditional “time clock”


control


of


employees.


Generally,


use


of


flextime


has


resulted


in


higher


employee morale and reduced absenteeism and



employee


turnover.


However,


some


problems


must


be


addressed


when flextime is used, particularly if unionized workers are involved.


Another


way


to


change


work


patterns


is


with


the


compressed


workweek,


in


which


a


full


week’s


work


is


accomplished


in


fewer


than


five


days.


Compression


simply


alters


the


number


of


hours


per


day


per


employee,


usually


resulting


in


longer


working


times


each


day


and


a


decreased number of days worked per week.



ALTERNATIVE WORK ARRANGEMENTS


A growing number of


employers


are


allowing


workers


to


use


widely


different


working


arrangements.


Some


employees


work


partly


at


home


and


partly


at


an


office, and share office space with other “office



nomads.” According to


data from governmental statistics for a recent year, over 21 million U.S.


workers worked at home for some or all of the time.13


Telecommuting


is


the


process


of


going


to


work


via


electronic


computing


and


telecommunications


equipment.


Many


U.S.


employers


have


telecommuting


employees


or


are


experimenting


with


them,


including such firms as American Express, Travelers Insurance, and J.C.


Penney Co. Other types of nontraditional work arrangements have been


labeled in various ways.


Although


it


does


not


deal


with


working


hours,


another


work


arrangement


is


hoteling,


in


which


workers


check


in


with


an


office


concierge,


carry


their


own


nameplates


with


them,


and


are


assigned


to


work


cubicles or


small offices.


A


worker


uses


the


assigned office


for


a


day or more, but other workers may use the same office in later days and


weeks.


Other employees have virtual offices, which means that their offices


are


wherever


they


are,


whenever


they


are


there.


An


office


could


be


a


customer’s


project



room,


an


airport


conference


room,


a


work


suite


in


a


hotel resort, a business-class seat on an international airline flight, or even


a rental car.


The shift to such arrangements means that work is done anywhere,


anytime,


and that people are judged more on results than on “putting in


time.” Greater


trust, less direct supervision, and more self-scheduling are


all


job


characteristics


of


those


with


virtual


offices


and


other


less


traditional arrangements.



Internal Assessment of Organizational Workforce



Analyzing the jobs that will need to be done and the skills of people


currently available to do them is the next part of HR planning. The needs


of the organization must be compared against the labor supply available.



Auditing Jobs and Skills


The starting point for evaluating internal strengths and weaknesses is


an audit of the jobs currently being done in the organization. This internal


assessment


helps


to


position


an


organization


to


develop


or


maintain


a


competitive advantage.14 A


comprehensive


analysis


of


all


current


jobs


provides


a


basis


for


forecasting


what


jobs


will


need


to


be


done


in


the


future.


Much


of


the


data


to


answer


these


questions


should


be


available


from


existing


staffing


and


organizational


databases.


The


following


questions are addressed during the internal assessment:












strategy?





Organizational Capabilities Inventory


As those doing HR planning gain an understanding of current jobs


and the new jobs that will be necessary to carry out organizational plans,


they can make a detailed audit of current employees and their capabilities.


The


basic


source


of


data


on


employees


is


the


HR


records


in


the


organization. By utilizing different databases in an HRIS, it is possible to


identify the employees’ capabilities, knowledge,


and skills. Planners can


use


these


inventories


to


determine


long-range


needs


for


recruiting,


What are the characteristics of anticipated jobs?


What jobs now exist?


How many individuals are performing each job?


What are the reporting relationships of jobs?


How essential is each job?


What


jobs


will


be


needed


to


implement


the


organizational


selection, and HR development. Also, that information can be the basis


for determining which additional capabilities will be needed in the future


workforce that may not currently exist, but will be needed.15



COMPONENTS


OF


ORGANIZATIONAL


CAPABILITIES


INVENTORY This inventory of organizational capabilities often consists


of:




Individual employee


demographics


(age,


length


of


service in


the organization, time in present job)




Individual


career


progression


(jobs


held,


time


in


each


job,


promotions or other job changes, pay rates)




Individual performance data (work accomplishment, growth in


skills) These three types of information can be expanded to include:














Education and training


Mobility and geographic preference


Specific aptitudes, abilities, and interests


Areas of interest and internal promotion ladders


Promotability ratings


Anticipated retirement


All


the


information


that


goes


into


an


employee’s


skills


inventory


affects the


employee’s career. Therefore, the data and their use must meet


the


same


standards


of


job- relatedness


and


nondiscrimination


as


those

-


-


-


-


-


-


-


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