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Types of
Risk
风险
类型
Business
商业风险
Normal risks that offer gain and loss
p>
正常的风险可能
会带来盈利或损失
Pure / Insurable
Only loss:
property damage, indirect consequential
纯风险
/
可保险
loss,
legal
liability,
personnel.
For
risk
we
can
outsource, we
have contract. For pure
risks, we
obtain
insurance.
只带来损失:财产损害、间接损失、法律责任、
< br>人员损失。可通过购买保险、签订合同等手段将风险转移出
去。
< br>
Risk
Factors
风
险因
素
Risk
event
风险
事件
Risk
probability
风险概
率
Amount
at Stake
得失量
来源,事件,征兆
Statistical
Occurrence
of
one
event
is
not
related
to
occurrence
of
Independence
统计
the
other
一件事情的发生与其他事情的发生无关(期望值
独
立
分析和决策数分析的必要条件)
Purpose
is
to
test
the
value
of
data
(input
to
Data
Precision
Qualitative
Analysis)
数值测量(质量分析的输入)
Ranking
数据精确度
等级
(part of Risk
Response
Planning)
(风险应对计划的一部
Secondary
Risk
二次
分)
风险
Path
Convergence
Tendency of parallel paths
of equal duration to delay
路径汇聚
the
completion of the milestone where they meet
所有
在此处的延迟会导致汇合于此处的任何路径的延迟
Contingency Plan
Planned
action steps to be taken if an identified risk
应急计划
occurs.
(e.g.
developing
alternative
activity
sequences)
如果风险发生
,应该采取计划措施的步骤(如:
制定备选方案)
Uncertainty
不确定
性
An
uncommon
state
of
nature,
characterized
by
the
absence
of
any
information
related
to
a
desired
outcome.
一
个偶然事件,对未来事件缺乏认知
Workaround
p>
权变措
Unplanned
response
to
negative
risk
events
(requires
to
施
be impacted by the risk first)
对不利的风险事件的未经
计划的应对措施(首先要压缩风险)
Expected Monetary
=
Probability
* Monetary Impact (used
in Decision Tree
Value
期望值
< br>Analysis)
概率
*
得失
量(用于决策树分析)
Risk
Event
风险事件
A discrete occurrence that may affect
the project for
better
or
worse.
After
a
risk
event,
the
project
manager’s role is to
reassess the risk ranking. The
risk
owner
is
responsible
to
take
action
when
an
identified
risk
occurs.
可能导致项
目变好或者变坏的不连
续事件。风险事件过后,项目管理者的任务是重新评估风险
等级。当风险发生时,风险所有者有责任采取行动
Risk
Trigger
风险触
A
symptom
of
risk;
indirect
manifestation
of
actual
risk
发器
event; output
of risk identification; example is poor
morale
一种风险征兆;间接的表现出风险事件;风险鉴别的
输出;
Risk Portfolio
Risk data assembled for the management
of the project
项目管理中的风险数据组合
Utility
Theory
效用
Technique
that
characterizes
an
individual
’s
理论
willingness to
take risk
描述个体承担风险意愿的方法
Sensitivity
Places a value
on the impact to the project plan by
An
alysis
敏感性分
adjusting a single
project variable; simplest form of
析
analysis
最简单最经济的定量分析方法
(没考虑风险要素间
关系及概率)
Risk
Auditor
风险核
Role is
to investigate the effectiveness of the risk
对
owner (which
can cause potential conflict with risk
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