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Panel cointegration T
est
Westerlund(2007)
and
Westerlund(2008)
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源程序和说明下载见后。
运用下载包中
的数据,可以获得如下演示结果:
.
xtwest
loghex
loggdp,
westerlund
constant
trend
lags(1
3)
leads(0
3)
lrwindow(3)
Calculating Westerlund ECM panel
cointegration tests..........
Results
for H0: no cointegration
With 20 series
and 1 covariate
Average AIC selected
lag length: 2.8
Average AIC selected
lead length: 1.65
Statistic
Value
Z-value
P-value
Gt
-4.082
-9.613
0.000
Ga
-27.702
-10.626
0.000
Pt
-12.969
-4.100
0.000
Pa
-22.470
-10.119
0.000
.
xtwest
loghex
loggdp,
westerlund
constant
trend
lags(1)
leads(1)
lrwindow(3) bootstrap(100)
Bootstrapping critical values under
H0..........
Calculating Westerlund ECM
panel cointegration tests..........
Results for H0: no cointegration
With 20 series and 1 covariate
Statistic
Value
Z-value
P-value
Robust P-value
Gt
-3.150
-4.424
0.000
0.050
Ga
-31.274
-13.027
0.000
0.000
Pt
-13.809
-5.079
0.000
0.040
Pa
-26.770
-13.339
0.000
0.000
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help for xtwest
------------
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Westerlund error correction
based panel cointegration tests
xtwest
depvar
varlist
[if
exp]
[in
range]
,
lags(#
[#])
leads(#
[#])
lrwindow(#) [constant trend
bootstrap(#) westerlund noisily]
xtwest
is
for
use
with
panel
data.
You
must
tsset
your
data
before
using
xtwest; see help tsset.
Description
xtwest
implements
the
four
panel
cointegration
tests
developed
by
Westerlund (2007). The underlying idea
is
to
test
for
the
absence
of
cointegration
by
determining
whether
there exists error correction for
individual
panel
members
or
for
the
panel
as
a
whole.
Consider
following error
correction model, where
all variables in levels are assumed to
be I(1):
D.y_it =
c_i + a_i1*D.y_it-1 + a_i2*D.y_it-2 + ... +
a_ip*D.y_it-p
+ b_i0*D.x_it + b_i1*D.x_it-1 + ... +
b_ip*D.x_it-p
+ a_i(y_it-1 - b_i*x_it-1) + u_it
a_i provides an estimate
of the speed of error-correction towards the
long run equilibrium
y_it = - (b_i/a_i) * x_it for that
series i. The Ga and Gt test statistics test
H0: a_i = 0 for all i
versus
H1:
a_i
<
0
for
at
least
one
i.
These
statistics
start
from
a
weighted
average of the individualy
estimated
a_i's
and
their
t-ratio's
respectively.
The
Pa
and
Pt
test
statistics pool information over all
the cross-sectional
units to test H0: a_i = 0 for all i vs H1:
a_i < 0 for
all i. Rejection
of H0 should
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